Tata Steel management expects steel demand in India to recover sharply post the monsoon and regional festivities in 1HCY22

Chirag Batavia • 14 February 2022

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TATA STEEL (TATASTEEL)


  • Management expects steel demand in India to recover sharply post the monsoon and regional festivities in 1HCY22


  • Demand in Europe has recovered to pre-pandemic levels despite auto demand being impacted by semiconductor shortages.


  • Management indicated that margin is expected to improve sequentially in Europe due to contract revisions, whereas in India it is expected to contract further.


  • Management shared that they can reach 40-50 mtpa steel capacity in India from the current 18 mtpa through brownfield expansions.


  • TATA has reduced (adjusted) net debt by 8% QoQ to Rs69300 cr (-25% YoY) as of 3QFY22.


  • TATA’s NINL acquisition, although expensive, opens growth options and internal cash-flows would comfortably fund growth projects without adding leverage.


  • Stock trades at attractive 4.5X EV/EBITDA FY2023E despite assuming further moderation in margins.


Note: The above is a brief note on the company, based on the inputs of the KIE research report dated 8th February 2022, which is available on their website at: https://www.kotaksecurities.com/ksweb/ResearchCall/Fundamental. Disclaimer: http://bit.ly/2n5AxIE

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